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Stochastic model of forecast flood situation on mountain-plain river
E. A. Semenchin, F. F. Baranenko, A. V. Voytyuk Kuban State University, Krasnodar
Abstract:
The article presents integrated linear stochastic model of water stock's rippling on catchment area. This model takes into incidental noise in observed values of stock $W(t)$, water's flow $q(t)$ on catchment area, size of precipitation $R(t)$ and evaporation $E(t)$ from surface, and makes to get a forecast of stated quantities possible. There are some examples of practical application of the model.
Keywords:
stochastic model, water level, catchments area, forecast algorithm, evaporation, time series.
Received: 03.11.2009
Citation:
E. A. Semenchin, F. F. Baranenko, A. V. Voytyuk, “Stochastic model of forecast flood situation on mountain-plain river”, Matem. Mod., 22:10 (2010), 109–118
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/mm3032 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/mm/v22/i10/p109
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