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This article is cited in 1 scientific paper (total in 1 paper)
System Analysis, Control and Data Processing
Assessment of the possibilities of the method of analogues for the current forecast of air temperature
K. L. Voskanan, A. Kuznetsov, O. Serouhova, T. Simakina Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint-Petersburg
Abstract:
An algorithm for forecasting non-stationary time series based on the analog method is considered. The proposed method is tested at air temperature values according to an automatic meteorological station. Six forecast models using various measures of similarity were constructed, the forecast error was determined on an independent sample. Comparison with the estimate of the inertial prediction led to the conclusion that the method of analogs gives satisfactory results of the current temperature prediction.
Keywords:
analogue method, current temperature forecast, proximity measures.
Received: 05.03.2019 Revised: 23.03.2019
Citation:
K. L. Voskanan, A. Kuznetsov, O. Serouhova, T. Simakina, “Assessment of the possibilities of the method of analogues for the current forecast of air temperature”, Vestnik TVGU. Ser. Prikl. Matem. [Herald of Tver State University. Ser. Appl. Math.], 2019, no. 1, 101–116
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vtpmk528 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vtpmk/y2019/i1/p101
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Abstract page: | 253 | Full-text PDF : | 185 | References: | 55 |
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