Vestnik TVGU. Seriya: Prikladnaya Matematika [Herald of Tver State University. Series: Applied Mathematics]
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Vestnik TVGU. Seriya: Prikladnaya Matematika [Herald of Tver State University. Series: Applied Mathematics], 2019, Issue 1, Pages 101–116
DOI: https://doi.org/10.26456/vtpmk528
(Mi vtpmk528)
 

This article is cited in 1 scientific paper (total in 1 paper)

System Analysis, Control and Data Processing

Assessment of the possibilities of the method of analogues for the current forecast of air temperature

K. L. Voskanan, A. Kuznetsov, O. Serouhova, T. Simakina

Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint-Petersburg
Full-text PDF (720 kB) Citations (1)
References:
Abstract: An algorithm for forecasting non-stationary time series based on the analog method is considered. The proposed method is tested at air temperature values according to an automatic meteorological station. Six forecast models using various measures of similarity were constructed, the forecast error was determined on an independent sample. Comparison with the estimate of the inertial prediction led to the conclusion that the method of analogs gives satisfactory results of the current temperature prediction.
Keywords: analogue method, current temperature forecast, proximity measures.
Received: 05.03.2019
Revised: 23.03.2019
Bibliographic databases:
Document Type: Article
UDC: 681.518:551.50:551.501
Language: Russian
Citation: K. L. Voskanan, A. Kuznetsov, O. Serouhova, T. Simakina, “Assessment of the possibilities of the method of analogues for the current forecast of air temperature”, Vestnik TVGU. Ser. Prikl. Matem. [Herald of Tver State University. Ser. Appl. Math.], 2019, no. 1, 101–116
Citation in format AMSBIB
\Bibitem{VosKuzSer19}
\by K.~L.~Voskanan, A.~Kuznetsov, O.~Serouhova, T.~Simakina
\paper Assessment of the possibilities of the method of analogues for the current forecast of air temperature
\jour Vestnik TVGU. Ser. Prikl. Matem. [Herald of Tver State University. Ser. Appl. Math.]
\yr 2019
\issue 1
\pages 101--116
\mathnet{http://mi.mathnet.ru/vtpmk528}
\crossref{https://doi.org/10.26456/vtpmk528}
\elib{https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=37166598}
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  • This publication is cited in the following 1 articles:
    Citing articles in Google Scholar: Russian citations, English citations
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    Vestnik TVGU. Seriya: Prikladnaya Matematika [Herald of Tver State University. Series: Applied Mathematics]
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    Abstract page:254
    Full-text PDF :185
    References:55
     
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