Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo Universiteta. Seriya 10. Prikladnaya Matematika. Informatika. Protsessy Upravleniya
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Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo Universiteta. Seriya 10. Prikladnaya Matematika. Informatika. Protsessy Upravleniya, 2020, Volume 16, Issue 1, Pages 19–30
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21638/11701/spbu10.2020.102
(Mi vspui435)
 

This article is cited in 1 scientific paper (total in 1 paper)

Applied mathematics

On the practical applicability of three CUSUM-methods for structural breaks detection in EGARCH-models

D. A. Borzykha, A. A. Yazykovabc

a National Research University Higher School of Economics, 20, Myasnitskaya ul., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation
b Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” Russian Academy of Sciences, 44, bldg. 2, Vavilova ul., Moscow, 119333, Russian Federation
c Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University), 9, Institutsky per., Dolgoprudny, 141701, Russian Federation
Full-text PDF (343 kB) Citations (1)
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Abstract: There are three well-known CUSUM-methods of structural breaks detection for standard GARCH-models in the literature: (Inclґan, Tiao, 1994), (Kokoszka, Leipus, 1999) and (Lee, Tokutsu, Maekawa, 2004). Despite the fact that these algorithms were initially developed for standard GARCH-models, there are theoretical arguments that CUSUM-methods can be applied to EGARCH-models. What is more, one can find empirical research which uses these methods to detect structural breaks in real-time series volatility. However, we have not found any numeric experiments which would prove the applicability of CUSUM-methods for EGARCH-models so far. We are not aware of any controlled experiments conducted in order to verify the applicability of these methods for EGARCH-models. This article adds to the existing literature in the following way. We first generate volatility series which possess EGARCH-model with known structural breaks. Then we run simulations and show that CUSUM-methods are weak in detecting structural breaks on medium size samples which are close to real ones. We conclude that the applicability of these methods on EGARCH-models is limited. Therefore, we suggest a hybrid algorithm which is able to improve the performance of CUSUM-methods when detecting structural breaks in all EGARCH-models.
Keywords: EGARCH, volatility, change points, structural breaks, CUSUM.
Funding agency Grant number
Russian Foundation for Basic Research 19-31-90169
The reported study was funded by RFBR according to the research project N 19-31-90169.
Received: October 29, 2019
Accepted: February 13, 2020
Document Type: Article
UDC: 519.862.6, 519.6
MSC: 91B84, 91G60
Language: Russian
Citation: D. A. Borzykh, A. A. Yazykov, “On the practical applicability of three CUSUM-methods for structural breaks detection in EGARCH-models”, Vestnik S.-Petersburg Univ. Ser. 10. Prikl. Mat. Inform. Prots. Upr., 16:1 (2020), 19–30
Citation in format AMSBIB
\Bibitem{BorYaz20}
\by D.~A.~Borzykh, A.~A.~Yazykov
\paper On the practical applicability of three CUSUM-methods for structural breaks detection in EGARCH-models
\jour Vestnik S.-Petersburg Univ. Ser. 10. Prikl. Mat. Inform. Prots. Upr.
\yr 2020
\vol 16
\issue 1
\pages 19--30
\mathnet{http://mi.mathnet.ru/vspui435}
\crossref{https://doi.org/10.21638/11701/spbu10.2020.102}
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  • This publication is cited in the following 1 articles:
    Citing articles in Google Scholar: Russian citations, English citations
    Related articles in Google Scholar: Russian articles, English articles
    Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 10. Прикладная математика. Информатика. Процессы управления
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