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SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT
Decision-making on investment of IT-innovation based on fuzzy expert information
E. V. Chertina, L. B. Aminul, O. O. Eremenko Astrakhan State Technical University
Abstract:
The subject of the research is the process of making managerial decisions for innovative IT projects investing. The paper focuses on the new approach to decision making on investing innovative IT projects using expert survey in a fuzzy reasoning system. As input information, expert estimates of projects have been aggregated into six indicators $A_1^j-A_6^j\in [0;1]$ having a linguistic description of the individual characteristics of the project type "high", "medium", and "low". The task of decision making investing has been formalized and the term-set of the output variable Des has been defined: to invest $50$–$75\%$ of the project cost; to invest $20$–$50\%$ of the project cost; to invest $10$–$20\%$ of the project cost; to send the project for revision; to turn down investing project. The fuzzy product model of making investment management decisions has been developed; it adequately describes the process of investment management. The expediency of using constructed production model on a practical example is shown.
Keywords:
innovative IT project, expert evaluation, fuzzy product model, assessment of model adequacy.
Received: 11.11.2017
Citation:
E. V. Chertina, L. B. Aminul, O. O. Eremenko, “Decision-making on investment of IT-innovation based on fuzzy expert information”, Vestn. Astrakhan State Technical Univ. Ser. Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics, 2018, no. 1, 103–111
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vagtu522 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vagtu/y2018/i1/p103
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Abstract page: | 160 | Full-text PDF : | 162 | References: | 22 |
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