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Vestnik of Astrakhan State Technical University. Series: Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics, 2012, Number 1, Pages 179–185
(Mi vagtu51)
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SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT
Theoretical aspects of modeling and forecasting of the regional economic dynamics based on a limited array of statistical data
A. V. Koshkarov Astrakhan State Technical University
Abstract:
The efficiency of management and planning in the regions depends on the application of models of socio-economic dynamics as a tool for decision making. Their application is especially approved when there is no statistical data necessary for modeling and forecasting of processes of economic dynamics in the region, or when the statistics is distorted. It is recommended to use forecasting rules worked out by N. D. Kondratiev, the principles of system dynamics by J. Forrester, a method of simulation for modeling and forecasting in the case of a limited array of statistics. The paper offers the structure of the corresponding forecasting model.
Keywords:
economic dynamics, forecasting of economic dynamics, regional socio-economic dynamics, regional economics, modeling.
Received: 08.11.2011 Revised: 12.12.2011
Citation:
A. V. Koshkarov, “Theoretical aspects of modeling and forecasting of the regional economic dynamics based on a limited array of statistical data”, Vestn. Astrakhan State Technical Univ. Ser. Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics, 2012, no. 1, 179–185
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vagtu51 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vagtu/y2012/i1/p179
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Abstract page: | 115 | Full-text PDF : | 58 | References: | 14 | First page: | 1 |
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