Abstract:
Let $f_1(t), \dots, f_n(t)$ be independent copies of some a.s. continuous
stochastic process $f(t)$, $t\in[0,1]$, which are observed with noise. We
consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the mean function $\mu(t)
= \mathbf{E}f(t)$ and of the covariance function
$\psi(t,s)=\operatorname{Cov}\{f(t),f(s)\}$ if the noise values of each of
the copies $f_i(t)$, $i=1,\dots,n$, are observed in some collection of
generally random (in general) time points (regressors). Under wide
assumptions on the time points, we construct uniformly consistent kernel
estimators for the mean and covariance functions both in the case of sparse
data (where the number of observations for each copy of the stochastic process is
uniformly bounded) and in the case of dense data (where the number of observations
at each of $n$ series is increasing as $n\to\infty$). In contrast to the
previous studies, our kernel estimators are universal with respect to the
structure of time points, which can be either fixed rather than necessarily
regular, or random rather than necessarily formed of independent or weakly
dependent random variables.
Keywords:nonparametric regression, estimator of the mean function, estimator of the covariance function, kernel estimator, uniform consistency.
Citation:
Yu. Yu. Linke, I. S. Borisov, “Universal nonparametric kernel-type estimators for the mean and covariance functions of a stochastic process”, Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 69:1 (2024), 46–75; Theory Probab. Appl., 69:1 (2024), 35–58