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Bayesian sequential testing problem for a Brownian bridge
D. I. Lisovskii Steklov Mathematical Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Abstract:
The present paper gives a solution to the Bayesian sequential testing problem
of two simple hypotheses about the mean of a Brownian bridge. The method of
the proof is based on reducing the sequential analysis problem to the
optimal stopping problem for a strong Markov posterior probability process.
The key idea in solving the above problem is the application of the
one-to-one Kolmogorov time-space transformation, which enables one to
consider, instead of the optimal stopping problem on a finite time horizon
for a time-inhomogeneous diffusion process, an optimal stopping problem on an
infinite time horizon for a homogeneous diffusion process with a slightly
more complicated risk functional. The continuation and stopping sets are
determined by two continuous boundaries, which constitute a unique solution
of a system of two nonlinear integral equations.
Keywords:
sequential analysis, hypothesis testing problem, optimal stopping problem, Brownian bridge,
Kolmogorov time-space transformation.
Received: 23.10.2017 Revised: 29.06.2018
Citation:
D. I. Lisovskii, “Bayesian sequential testing problem for a Brownian bridge”, Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 63:4 (2018), 683–712; Theory Probab. Appl., 63:4 (2019), 556–579
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/tvp5169https://doi.org/10.4213/tvp5169 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/tvp/v63/i4/p683
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Abstract page: | 309 | Full-text PDF : | 47 | References: | 38 | First page: | 15 |
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