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Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya, 1964, Volume 9, Issue 2, Pages 352–357
(Mi tvp381)
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This article is cited in 1 scientific paper (total in 1 paper)
Short Communications
On the Probability of a Markov Point Falling on a Plane Region with Small Diameter
M. S. Nikol'skiĭ Moscow
Abstract:
The following problem arises in the field of optimum control (see [1]). A point in a plane with a probability density $p(\sigma,x,\tau ,y)$, that satisfies Kolmogorov's equation
$$
\frac{\partial p}{\partial\sigma}+\sum_{i,j=1}^2 a^{ij}(\sigma,x)\frac{\partial^2p}{\partial x^i\partial x^j}+\sum_{i=1}^2 b^i(\sigma,x)\frac{\partial p}{\partial x^i}=0.
$$
A second point $z$ moves in the same plane in accordance with the equation $z=z(t)$. A closed curve $S_t=z(t)+\varepsilon S$ moves together with $z$. It is similar to a stationary curve $S$ with a small similarity coefficient $\varepsilon$. It is required to calculate the probability $\varphi(\sigma,x,\tau)$ that a random point will intersect curve $S_A$ during the time interval $\sigma\leqq t\leqq\tau$ if at time $\sigma$ the point $z$ is at $z(\sigma)$ and the random point is at $x$. It is shown in the paper that with some restrictions imposed on the coefficients in Kolmogorov's equation for $|x-z(\sigma)|>r_0$, where $r_0$ is any non-zero constant, the following is true:
$$
\varphi(\sigma,x,\tau)=\frac{2\pi}{|{\ln\varepsilon}|}\int_\sigma^\tau p(\sigma,x,s,z(s))\,ds+o\left(\frac1{|{\ln\varepsilon}|}\right).
$$
Received: 13.11.1963
Citation:
M. S. Nikol'skiǐ, “On the Probability of a Markov Point Falling on a Plane Region with Small Diameter”, Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 9:2 (1964), 352–357; Theory Probab. Appl., 9:2 (1964), 320–325
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https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/tvp381 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/tvp/v9/i2/p352
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