Assessment of cyber-resilience of computer networks based on simulation of cyber attacks by the stochastic networks conversion method

The paper offers an approach for assessment of cyber-resilience of computer networks based on analytical simulation of computer attacks using a stochastic networks conversion method. The concept of cyber-resilience of computer networks is justified. The mathematical foundations of its assessment, allowing to calculate cyber-resilience indices by means of analytical expressions, are considered. The coefficient of serviceability on cyber-resilience is offered to be used as the key such indicator. The considered approach assumes the creation of analytical models of cyber-attacks. The method of the stochastic networks conversion is applied to create analytical models of cyber-attacks. The time distribution function and average time to implement cyber-attacks are the simulation results. These estimates are used then to search cyber-resilience indices. The experimental results of analytical simulation which showed that the offered approach has rather high accuracy and stability of the received solutions are given.