Modeling of Processes of Information Security Violations of Critical Infrastructure

Discusses the principles of evaluation the effectiveness of the malefactor in the critical infrastructure. The "operating complex" process modeling of security breach is presented. Investigated uncertainty modeling process of malefactor and ways to overcome them. A mathematical model of aggregate effectiveness of the malefactor, which removes some limitations of existing probabilistic models of random phenomena in the field of information security is developed. The model is called stochastic super indicator and is intended for research of conflict situations in critical infrastructure.