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This article is cited in 1 scientific paper (total in 1 paper)
Critical dimension in the semiparametric Bernstein–von Mises theorem
Maxim E. Panovabc, Vladimir G. Spokoinyade a Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University), Dolgoprudny, Russia
b Institute for Information Transmission Problems (Kharkevich Institute), Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
c Datadvance Company, Moscow, Russia
d Weierstrass Institute for Applied Analysis and Stochastics, Berlin, Germany
e Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Abstract:
The classical parametric and semiparametric Bernstein–von Mises (BvM) results are reconsidered in a nonclassical setup allowing finite samples and model misspecification. In the parametric case and in the case of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter, we establish an upper bound on the error of Gaussian approximation of the posterior distribution of the target parameter; the bound depends explicitly on the dimension of the full and target parameters and on the sample size. This helps to identify the so-called critical dimension $p_n$ of the full parameter for which the BvM result is applicable. In the important special i.i.d. case, we show that the condition "$p_n^3/n$ is small" is sufficient for the BvM result to be valid under general assumptions on the model. We also provide an example of a model with the phase transition effect: the statement of the BvM theorem fails when the dimension $p_n$ approaches $n^{1/3}$.
Received in June 2014
Citation:
Maxim E. Panov, Vladimir G. Spokoiny, “Critical dimension in the semiparametric Bernstein–von Mises theorem”, Stochastic calculus, martingales, and their applications, Collected papers. Dedicated to Academician Albert Nikolaevich Shiryaev on the occasion of his 80th birthday, Trudy Mat. Inst. Steklova, 287, MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, Moscow, 2014, 242–266; Proc. Steklov Inst. Math., 287:1 (2014), 232–255
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/tm3582https://doi.org/10.1134/S0371968514040141 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/tm/v287/p242
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