Expert analysis of system effect from the reciprocal effects of the factors of credit and monetary policy for the support of decision making on the basis of the reflexive procedures of linear evaluation and logical conclusion

The procedures of expert analysis of reciprocal effect of the factors of credit and monetary policy and economic activity are described. The factors which include parameters of state of economy, financial spheres, and tools of state administration are examined. The concept of primitive connections whose estimations are assigned by expert evaluation is proposed. The reflexive procedures of calculation of estimations of primitive connections transitive closure are proposed. The different realizations of the operations with estimations are examined (linear, logical, time-like). Description of the process of model verification and numerical example of analysis of reciprocal effect of the factors of the investigated region are given.