Abstract:
The problem of long-term ecological prediction by means of mathematical modeling with available factual data on climate dynamics is discussed. The technique of quantitative estimates of risk/vulnerability on the basis of forward and inverse modeling and methods of the sensitivity theory is described. Examples of the calculated risk domains for Lake Baikal are given.
Citation:
V. V. Penenko, E. A. Tsvetova, “Mathematical models for studying environment pollution risks”, Prikl. Mekh. Tekh. Fiz., 45:2 (2004), 136–146; J. Appl. Mech. Tech. Phys., 45:2 (2004), 260–268