Prikladnaya Mekhanika i Tekhnicheskaya Fizika
RUS  ENG    JOURNALS   PEOPLE   ORGANISATIONS   CONFERENCES   SEMINARS   VIDEO LIBRARY   PACKAGE AMSBIB  
General information
Latest issue
Archive

Search papers
Search references

RSS
Latest issue
Current issues
Archive issues
What is RSS



Prikl. Mekh. Tekh. Fiz.:
Year:
Volume:
Issue:
Page:
Find






Personal entry:
Login:
Password:
Save password
Enter
Forgotten password?
Register


Prikladnaya Mekhanika i Tekhnicheskaya Fizika, 2009, Volume 50, Issue 2, Pages 156–166 (Mi pmtf1728)  

This article is cited in 3 scientific papers (total in 3 papers)

Optimal forecasting of natural processes with uncertainty assessment

V. V. Penenko, E. A. Tsvetova

Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, 630090, Russia
Full-text PDF (894 kB) Citations (3)
Abstract: The problem of optimal forecasting of environmental changes induced by various factors is discussed. The proposed technique is based on variational principles and methods of the sensitivity theory with allowance for uncertainties in mathematical models and input data. Optimal forecasting is understood as forecasting where the estimates of cost functionals are independent of variations of the sought state functions. In addition to state functions, the forecasted characteristics include risk and vulnerability functions for receptor areas and quantification of uncertainties.
Keywords: optimal forecasting, mathematical modeling, quality of environment, sensitivity analysis, uncertainty assessment, convection, diffusion, and reaction equations.
Received: 24.11.2008
English version:
Journal of Applied Mechanics and Technical Physics, 2009, Volume 50, Issue 2, Pages 300–308
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10808-009-0041-y
Bibliographic databases:
Document Type: Article
UDC: 504.064, 519.6
Language: Russian
Citation: V. V. Penenko, E. A. Tsvetova, “Optimal forecasting of natural processes with uncertainty assessment”, Prikl. Mekh. Tekh. Fiz., 50:2 (2009), 156–166; J. Appl. Mech. Tech. Phys., 50:2 (2009), 300–308
Citation in format AMSBIB
\Bibitem{PenTsv09}
\by V.~V.~Penenko, E.~A.~Tsvetova
\paper Optimal forecasting of natural processes with uncertainty assessment
\jour Prikl. Mekh. Tekh. Fiz.
\yr 2009
\vol 50
\issue 2
\pages 156--166
\mathnet{http://mi.mathnet.ru/pmtf1728}
\elib{https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=11839340}
\transl
\jour J. Appl. Mech. Tech. Phys.
\yr 2009
\vol 50
\issue 2
\pages 300--308
\crossref{https://doi.org/10.1007/s10808-009-0041-y}
Linking options:
  • https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/pmtf1728
  • https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/pmtf/v50/i2/p156
  • This publication is cited in the following 3 articles:
    Citing articles in Google Scholar: Russian citations, English citations
    Related articles in Google Scholar: Russian articles, English articles
    Prikladnaya Mekhanika i Tekhnicheskaya Fizika Prikladnaya Mekhanika i Tekhnicheskaya Fizika
     
      Contact us:
     Terms of Use  Registration to the website  Logotypes © Steklov Mathematical Institute RAS, 2024