Trudy Moskovskogo Matematicheskogo Obshchestva
RUS  ENG    JOURNALS   PEOPLE   ORGANISATIONS   CONFERENCES   SEMINARS   VIDEO LIBRARY   PACKAGE AMSBIB  
General information
Latest issue
Archive
Impact factor
Journal history

Search papers
Search references

RSS
Latest issue
Current issues
Archive issues
What is RSS



Tr. Mosk. Mat. Obs.:
Year:
Volume:
Issue:
Page:
Find






Personal entry:
Login:
Password:
Save password
Enter
Forgotten password?
Register


Trudy Moskovskogo Matematicheskogo Obshchestva, 2022, Volume 83, Issue 1, Pages 63–75 (Mi mmo667)  

Mathematical model of the spread of a pandemic like COVID-19

A. G. Sergeeva, A. Kh. Khachatryanb, Kh. A. Khachatryancd

a Steklov Mathematical Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
b National Agrarian University of Armenia
c Yerevan State University
d Institute of Mathematics, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Yerevan
References:
Abstract: Using the example of the infectious disease called COVID-19, a mathematical model of the spread of a pandemic is considered. The virus that causes this disease emerged at the end of 2019 and spread to most countries around the world over the next year. A mathematical model of the emerging pandemic, called the SEIR-model (from the English words susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered), is described by a system of four ordinary dynamical equations given in §1.
The indicated system is reduced to a nonlinear integral equation of Hammerstein–Volterra type with an operator that does not have the property of monotonicity. In §3, we prove a theorem on the existence and uniqueness of a non-negative, bounded and summable solution of this system.
Based on real data on the COVID-19 disease in France and Italy, given in §2, numerical calculations are performed showing the absence of a second wave for the obtained solution.
Funding agency Grant number
Russian Science Foundation 19-11-00316
Russian Foundation for Basic Research 18-51-05009
Ministry of Education, Science, Culture and Sports RA, Science Committee 21T-1A047
In preparing this article, the first author received financial support from the Russian Science Foundation grant 19-11-00316 and the Russian Foundation for Basic Research grant 18-51-05009. The research of the second and third authors was carried out with the financial support of the RA Science Committee within the framework of the scientific project No. 21T-1A047.
Received: 08.02.2021
English version:
Transactions of the Moscow Mathematical Society
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1090/mosc/334
Document Type: Article
UDC: 517.968.4+534.7
MSC: 45G05, 92D30
Language: Russian
Citation: A. G. Sergeev, A. Kh. Khachatryan, Kh. A. Khachatryan, “Mathematical model of the spread of a pandemic like COVID-19”, Tr. Mosk. Mat. Obs., 83, no. 1, MCCME, M., 2022, 63–75
Citation in format AMSBIB
\Bibitem{SerKhaKha22}
\by A.~G.~Sergeev, A.~Kh.~Khachatryan, Kh.~A.~Khachatryan
\paper Mathematical model of the spread of a pandemic like COVID-19
\serial Tr. Mosk. Mat. Obs.
\yr 2022
\vol 83
\issue 1
\pages 63--75
\publ MCCME
\publaddr M.
\mathnet{http://mi.mathnet.ru/mmo667}
Linking options:
  • https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/mmo667
  • https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/mmo/v83/i1/p63
  • Citing articles in Google Scholar: Russian citations, English citations
    Related articles in Google Scholar: Russian articles, English articles
    Trudy Moskovskogo Matematicheskogo Obshchestva
    Statistics & downloads:
    Abstract page:249
    Full-text PDF :121
    References:32
     
      Contact us:
     Terms of Use  Registration to the website  Logotypes © Steklov Mathematical Institute RAS, 2024