Abstract:
The technology for constructing a set of initial data using the methodology for eliminating the displacement of the model bias for conducting seasonal time-scale experiments
with the climate model of Institute of Numerical Mathematics (INM) RAS originally developed for long-term experiments is presented. The comparative analysis of multiyear
mean correlation coefficients of anomalies for the winter seasons of various weather
fields and regions with similar results of the SLAV model was carried out. The presence
of an increase in the correlation coefficients of anomalies in the years of the phenomena
of El Niño and La Niña was revealed. The coincidence of the phases of quasi-biennial
oscillations is shown. The model sea-level pressure, precipitation and surface temperature anomalies are compared with reanalysis anomalies. Similarity is shown.
Citation:
V. V. Vorobyeva, E. M. Volodin, “Experimental studies of seasonal weather predictability based on the INM RAS climate model”, Mat. Model., 32:11 (2020), 47–58; Math. Models Comput. Simul., 13:4 (2021), 571–578
V. M. Khan, R. M. Vil'fand, V. A. Tishchenko, S. V. Emelina, A. S. Gritsun, E. M. Volodin, V. V. Vorobyeva, M. A. Tarasevich, “Assessment of Changes in the Temperature Regime of Northern Eurasia for the Next Five Years According to the INM RAS Earth System Model Forecasts and Their Possible Consequences for Agriculture”, Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., 48:9 (2023), 745
Maria A. Tarasevich, Ivan V. Tsybulin, Vladimir A. Onoprienko, Dmitry V. Kulyamin, Evgeny M. Volodin, “Ensemble-based statistical verification of INM RAS Earth system model”, Russian Journal of Numerical Analysis and Mathematical Modelling, 38:3 (2023), 173
S. V. Emelina, V. M. Khan, V. A. Semenov, V. V. Vorobyeva, M. A. Tarasevich, E. M. Volodin, “Seasonal Hydrodynamic Forecasts Using the INM-CM5 Model for Estimating the Beginning of Birch Pollen Dispersion”, Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 59:4 (2023), 351
S. V. Emelina, V. M. Khan, V. A. Semenov, V. V. Vorobyeva, M. A. Tarasevich, E. M. Volodin, “Seasonal Hydrodynamic Forecasts of INM-CM5 Model for Estimation of the Start of the Birch Pollen Season”, Izvestiya Rossiiskoi akademii nauk. Fizika atmosfery i okeana, 59:4 (2023), 407
R.N. Filippov, Yu.A. Ivanov, D.V. Kurbatov, A.A. Kornilov, “A global atmosphere model in flight performance assessment and building the reach line when preparing flight missions for sea-based unmanned aerial vehicles”, EJSI, 2022, no. 1 (121)
V. V. Vorobyeva, E. M. Volodin, “Analysis of the predictability of stratospheric variability and climate indices based on seasonal retrospective forecasts of the INM RAS climate model”, Russ. J. Numer. Anal. Math. Model, 36:2 (2021), 117–126