|
Theory of probability and Mathematical statistics
Asymptotic properties of $M$-estimator for $GARCH(1,1)$ model parameters
U. S. Tserakh Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliežnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus
Abstract:
$GARCH(1,1)$ model is used for analysis and forecasting of financial and economic time series. In the classical version, the maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the model parameters. However, this method is not convenient
for analysis of models with residuals distribution different from normal. In this paper, we consider $M$-estimator for the
$GARCH(1,1)$ model parameters, which is a generalization of the maximum likelihood method. An algorithm for constructing an $M$-estimator is described and its asymptotic properties are studied. A set of conditions is formulated under
which the estimator is strictly consistent and has an asymptotically normal distribution. This method allows to analyze
models with different residuals distributions; in particular, models with stable and tempered stable distributions that allow
to take into account the features of real financial data: volatility clustering, heavy tails, asymmetry
Keywords:
$GARCH(1,1)$ model; parameter estimation; $M$-estimator; consistency; asymptotic distribution.
Received: 14.04.2020
Citation:
U. S. Tserakh, “Asymptotic properties of $M$-estimator for $GARCH(1,1)$ model parameters”, Journal of the Belarusian State University. Mathematics and Informatics, 2 (2020), 69–78
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/bgumi55 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/bgumi/v2/p69
|
Statistics & downloads: |
Abstract page: | 100 | Full-text PDF : | 168 | References: | 13 |
|