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Avtomatika i Telemekhanika, 2015, Issue 4, Pages 80–96
(Mi at14211)
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This article is cited in 3 scientific papers (total in 3 papers)
Stochastic Systems, Queuing Systems
Estimating the probability that a multidimensional random process reaches the boundary of a region
S. L. Semakovab a Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Moscow, Russia
b Financial University, Moscow, Russia
Abstract:
We consider the problem of finding the probability of the event that a continuous random process reaches the boundary of a region first time on a given range of the independent variable. We propose a new approach to estimating the said probability related to studying the so-called conditional probabilities of a horizontal window: a) conditional probability of the event that at the moment when component $\xi_1(x)$ of the $n$-dimensional process $\boldsymbol\xi(x)=\{\xi_1(x),\ldots,\xi_n(x)\}$ first drops under a given level on interval $[x,x+\triangle x)$ constraint$(\xi_2,\ldots,\xi_n)\in D\subset R^{n-1}$ holds, where $D$ is a given region, given that it has dropped under this level at all; b) conditional probability, under the same condition as a), of the event that up until the moment of the first entry of component $\xi_1(x)$ under a given level on interval $[x,x+\triangle x)$ this component had already crossed this level a certain number of times.
Citation:
S. L. Semakov, “Estimating the probability that a multidimensional random process reaches the boundary of a region”, Avtomat. i Telemekh., 2015, no. 4, 80–96; Autom. Remote Control, 76:4 (2015), 613–626
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/at14211 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/at/y2015/i4/p80
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Abstract page: | 267 | Full-text PDF : | 77 | References: | 54 | First page: | 37 |
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