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GEOPHYSICS
Analysis of surface temperature changes in the foothill zone of South Russia on the example of Kislovodsk
A. A. Tashilova Mountain Geophysical Institute, Nalchik
Abstract:
Based on the series of surface air temperature (average, absolute maxima, absolute minima) for 1961-2018, obtained from instrumental data from the Kislovodsk station, an analysis of changes in seasonal and annual temperatures is carried out. We obtained averaged values in the base (1961-1990, normal) and modern (1991-2018) periods, the results of the t-test for determining the statistical equality/inequality of temperatures for two sub-periods, as well as characteristics of the distribution shape (asymmetry, kurtosis), the rate of temperature change with the criterion of statistical significance (F-test), the value of the Hurst exponent H for determining the stability of the series. Based on the results of statistical and fractal analysis, it can be concluded about a steady increase in temperatures (with the selection of summer averages, maximum and minimum) in the foothill zone of southern Russia (Kislovodsk).
Keywords:
southern Russia, foothill climatic zone, seasonal air temperature, statistics, distribution fields, trend stability.
Citation:
A. A. Tashilova, “Analysis of surface temperature changes in the foothill zone of South Russia on the example of Kislovodsk”, Reports of AIAS, 20:3 (2020), 69–78
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/aman20 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/aman/v20/i3/p69
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